HE CAN PIECE IT TOGETHER but doesn't care much also he tends to process expectations of general life in two ways.

a) WELL THE WORLD SUCKS SO EVERYONE HAS A SHITTY LIFE
b) people are shitty to each other so it's likely shit happened to people and those who claim it hasn't are liars or lucky.

And then variants of that because lol who believes in the world's goodness.

Does Sugata know he failed at his self-sealing plan yet.